Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.043874 0.047862 0.051912 0.056327 0.060997 0.065781 0.071047
2025-03-09 0.036534 0.042257 0.048298 0.055123 0.062590 0.070487 0.079441
2025-03-16 0.032709 0.039824 0.047589 0.056626 0.066793 0.077815 0.090607
2025-03-23 0.029285 0.037403 0.046535 0.057453 0.070035 0.083971 0.100460
2025-03-30 0.026400 0.035266 0.045524 0.058089 0.072882 0.089572 0.109649
2025-04-06 0.023536 0.032860 0.043948 0.057845 0.074536 0.093690 0.117077
2025-04-13 0.021933 0.031825 0.043869 0.059259 0.078051 0.099917 0.126940
2025-04-20 0.019609 0.029674 0.042244 0.058638 0.079003 0.103039 0.133111
2025-04-27 0.017982 0.028282 0.041445 0.058929 0.080979 0.107324 0.140632
2025-05-04 0.016886 0.027500 0.041345 0.060032 0.083907 0.112737 0.149511
2025-05-11 0.016229 0.027257 0.041901 0.061942 0.087833 0.119376 0.159911
2025-05-18 0.014089 0.024770 0.039335 0.059668 0.086355 0.119280 0.162033
2025-05-25 0.012636 0.023191 0.037942 0.058910 0.086826 0.121650 0.167284
2025-06-01 0.011418 0.021868 0.036824 0.058459 0.087650 0.124447 0.173077
2025-06-08 0.011058 0.021827 0.037500 0.060445 0.091691 0.131355 0.184075
2025-06-15 0.010461 0.021365 0.037537 0.061530 0.094532 0.136748 0.193207
2025-06-22 0.009828 0.020796 0.037378 0.062312 0.096956 0.141611 0.201695
2025-06-29 0.008990 0.019820 0.036560 0.062116 0.098025 0.144703 0.207933
2025-07-06 0.008649 0.019656 0.036946 0.063632 0.101431 0.150861 0.218135
2025-07-13 0.007822 0.018580 0.035878 0.062996 0.101842 0.153067 0.223244
2025-07-20 0.007278 0.017961 0.035482 0.063311 0.103551 0.156982 0.230575
2025-07-27 0.006957 0.017723 0.035668 0.064474 0.106442 0.162475 0.239981
2025-08-03 0.006830 0.017836 0.036416 0.066483 0.110542 0.169611 0.251583